BREAKING: The irony of leadership without a population census

Population census is the backbone of a nation’s statistical system and its importance cannot be overstated. A country without accurate data from a proper population census is akin to existing in the dark, without a clear sense of direction. Sadly, this is the situation in Nigeria today.

The last successful and widely accepted census in Nigeria was conducted in 2006, meaning that for over 19 years, the country has been operating without reliable demographic data. This is a staggering gap for a nation as large and diverse as Nigeria.

The advantages of conducting a population census are numerous and far-reaching. For one, it helps in developing market strategies and creating more efficient systems. It also enables the identification of services and facilities required in rural areas, fostering more targeted developments in agriculture, healthcare, and markets. In essence, a country operating without sound population data is like a ship adrift, with no rudder or compass.

So, why has Nigeria, the most populous nation in Africa, allowed itself to be in this precarious situation? Are our leaders truly unaware of the importance of accurate population data? Is it a deliberate oversight, or merely a result of incompetence? Whatever the reason, the consequences of such neglect are far-reaching.

The 2023 Population and Housing Census was supposed to address this issue, with a budget of N869 billion allocated for the exercise. However, after over N200 billion was already spent, the Federal Government suspended the census at the eleventh hour. At the time, officials claimed that the exercise was 80% complete, only for logistical issues and insecurity to be cited as the reasons for halting it. Some even suggested that the proximity to the 2023 general elections played a role in the suspension.

The justifications for the suspension remain unconvincing. In fact, it appears as though the government’s explanations were little more than excuses. After all, how many years have passed since the 2023 elections? The real question is: Why was this crucial project abandoned?

The failure to complete the 2023 census represents more than just an administrative blunder—it reflects a systemic problem where important national projects are left unfinished. The national carrier, Nigeria Air, is another example of a lofty initiative that has been repeatedly sidelined, despite its potential to create millions of jobs for Nigeria’s unemployed population.

The 2023 population census must be concluded. There is no denying that this is a task that cannot be delayed any longer. Nigeria’s future depends on it. The reasons for suspending the census—logistical issues, insecurity—are challenges faced by all nations. The fact that these challenges have prevented Nigeria from completing such a vital project only underscores the need for more effective leadership.

As US President Donald Trump recently remarked, a nation that doesn’t know the number of its citizens is like a joker in the park. This observation rings especially true for Nigeria, where an accurate population count is essential for planning purposes. Without it, we cannot assess key aspects such as the working population, unemployment rates, or the distribution of children and the elderly.

It’s time for Nigeria to face the reality that without a proper population census, we are embarking on a wild goose chase. However, all hope is not lost. The President Bola Ahmed Tinubu-led government must urgently take steps to conclude the 2023 census, which has already consumed over N200 billion. Failure to do so will only invite further chaos and inefficiency.

Nigeria cannot afford to ignore the critical importance of a reliable population census. The country’s leaders must prioritise this task, for posterity will not forgive us if we fail.